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How much of Myanmar’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $5 billion of Myanmar’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 22.1% of its seaborne trade. That is $4.6 billion of exports and $329 million of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are Germany, Poland and Spain.

Summary

Estimated value
$5billion
Of its seaborne trade
22.1%
Exports
$4.6billion
Imports
$329million

Trend

Estimated value per year

Myanmar’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope rose 1,415% between 2019 and 2024

Value in USD billions

  • Myanmar 5

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$9 million0.4%
1996$7 million0.3%
1997$00%
1998$2 million0.1%
1999$5 million0.2%
2000$3 million0.1%
2001$18 million0.5%
2002$35 million1.1%
2003$10 million0.3%
2004$8 million0.2%
2005$22 million0.7%
2006$32 million0.9%
2007$15 million0.3%
2008$31 million0.6%
2009$105 million2.3%
2010$174 million2.6%
2011$143 million1.3%
2012$182 million1.5%
2013$107 million0.7%
2014$118 million0.7%
2015$104 million0.7%
2016$272 million1.7%
2017$395 million1.9%
2018$296 million1.3%
2019$327 million1.3%
2020$324 million1.4%
2021$203 million1%
2022$239 million0.9%
2023$144 million0.6%
2024$5 billion22.1%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Myanmar–Germany$1 billion · 21%
  2. Myanmar–Poland$805 million · 16.2%
  3. Myanmar–Spain$369 million · 7.4%
  4. Myanmar–Italy$367 million · 7.4%
  5. Myanmar–France$314 million · 6.3%
  6. Myanmar–United States$283 million · 5.7%
  7. Myanmar–United Kingdom$238 million · 4.8%
  8. Myanmar–Turkey$176 million · 3.6%
  9. Myanmar–Belgium$151 million · 3.1%
  10. Myanmar–Austria$141 million · 2.8%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Women's coats and jackets$638 million · 12.9%
  2. Men's coats and jackets$416 million · 8.4%
  3. Women's suits and dresses$386 million · 7.8%
  4. Sweaters and pullovers$340 million · 6.9%
  5. Rice$326 million · 6.6%
  6. Rubber and plastic footwear$264 million · 5.3%
  7. Women's knitted suits and dresses$263 million · 5.3%
  8. Bags, suitcases and cases$249 million · 5%
  9. Garments of coated or nonwoven fabric$228 million · 4.6%
  10. Men's suits and trousers$166 million · 3.4%

Reference ports

Yangon (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Other chokepoints it uses

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints