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How much of Libya’s trade passes through the Cape of Good Hope?

In 2024, an estimated $6.3 billion of Libya’s trade passed through the Cape of Good Hope, 13.3% of its seaborne trade. That is $1.9 billion of exports and $4.4 billion of imports. The partners with the most trade through it are China, Thailand and India.

Summary

Estimated value
$6.3billion
Of its seaborne trade
13.3%
Exports
$1.9billion
Imports
$4.4billion

Trend

Estimated value per year

Libya’s estimated trade through the Cape of Good Hope, 1995–2024

Value in USD billions

  • Libya 6.3

Source: CEPII BACI

Show the numbers
YearEstimated valueOf its seaborne trade
1995$00%
1996$00%
1997$00%
1998$00%
1999$00%
2000$00%
2001$00%
2002$00%
2003$00%
2004$00%
2005$00%
2006$00%
2007$00%
2008$00%
2009$00%
2010$00%
2011$00%
2012$00%
2013$00%
2014$00%
2015$00%
2016$00%
2017$00%
2018$00%
2019$00%
2020$00%
2021$00%
2022$00%
2023$00%
2024$6.3 billion13.3%

Partners whose trade crosses it

Estimated value of its trade with each partner that crosses the chokepoint; the percentage is the share of all its trade through the chokepoint, not of the pair’s trade.

  1. Libya–China$3.9 billion · 62.3%
  2. Libya–Thailand$720 million · 11.4%
  3. Libya–India$667 million · 10.5%
  4. Libya–South Korea$391 million · 6.2%
  5. Libya–Malaysia$135 million · 2.1%
  6. Libya–Australia$101 million · 1.6%
  7. Libya–New Zealand$84 million · 1.3%
  8. Libya–Indonesia$80 million · 1.3%
  9. Libya–Bahrain$68 million · 1.1%
  10. Libya–Singapore$54 million · 0.86%

What crosses it

The products with the highest estimated value in 2024, with their share of the total through the chokepoint.

  1. Crude petroleum$1.8 billion · 28.3%
  2. Cars$383 million · 6.1%
  3. Cane and beet sugar$251 million · 4%
  4. New tires$160 million · 2.5%
  5. Prepared fish and caviar$141 million · 2.2%
  6. Auto parts$135 million · 2.1%
  7. Air conditioners$123 million · 1.9%
  8. Lamps and light fittings$97 million · 1.5%
  9. Bulldozers and excavators$83 million · 1.3%

Reference ports

Tripoli (100%)

Each port with the weight it receives from the country’s trade, based on where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest.

Sources and method

Sources and licenses

Methodology

We estimate the value crossing each chokepoint from BACI trade that travels by sea according to our mode heuristic, split between each country’s ports by where its GDP is generated and which coast is closest, and routed over our own sea network. It is an estimate, not a count of ships. It covers 99.9% of seaborne trade. The approach follows Verschuur, Lumma and Hall (Nature Communications, 2025). Data up to 2024.

All maritime chokepoints